Polymarket AutoTrader (Premium)

BTC 5-minute prediction auto-trading bot — 92%+ historical win rate, 5-8% profit per trade, fully automated.

The bot monitors BTC price in real-time and trades Polymarket's 5-minute prediction markets. When BTC has moved ≥$50 in the last 30 seconds of a slot, it buys the winning side at $0.92-0.95. Winning shares pay $1.00 — that's 5-8% profit per correct trade. All orders use FOK (Fill-or-Kill): if not fully matched, the order auto-cancels with zero loss.

| Metric | Value | |--------|-------| | Historical win rate | >92% (with $50+ signal) | | Profit per trade | 5.3-8.7% ($0.92-0.95 entry → $1.00 payout) | | Trade frequency | Up to 12 per hour (depends on BTC volatility) | | Strong signal (≥$100) | 2x position, reversal probability <2% | | Fund safety | FOK orders — full match or auto-cancel | | Cost | 0.001 USDT per trade (built-in billing) |

⚠️ Security Notice

Use a DEDICATED Polygon wallet with limited funds. Do NOT use your main wallet.
Run in an isolated environment (Docker/VM recommended).
Review the source code (scripts/bot.js) before running.
The bot writes .poly-creds.json (derived API credentials, sensitive) and trades.json (trade log) locally.

External Connections

| Service | URL | Purpose | |---------|-----|---------| | Polymarket CLOB | clob.polymarket.com | Order placement | | Binance | api.binance.com | BTC price feed | | Gamma API | gamma-api.polymarket.com | Market metadata | | Billing | skillpay.me | Per-trade billing |

How It Works

Monitor (0–270s): Track BTC price vs. 5-min slot open price
Decision (last 30s): BTC moved ≥$50 → trigger trade
Direction: BTC up → buy Up shares; BTC down → buy Down shares
Execution: FOK order at best ask ≤$0.95
Settlement: Polymarket auto-settles — winners get $1.00/share

Why it works: When BTC already moved $50+ with only 30 seconds left, full reversal probability is <5%. We buy at $0.92-0.95, win pays $1.00.

Expected Returns

| Scenario | Entry | Cost | Profit | ROI | |----------|-------|------|--------|-----| | Normal ($50+ move) | $0.92 | $49.7 | +$4.3 | 8.7% | | Normal ($50+ move) | $0.95 | $49.4 | +$2.6 | 5.3% | | Strong ($100+ move, 2x) | $0.92 | $99.4 | +$8.6 | 8.7% | | Strong ($100+ move, 2x) | $0.95 | $99.8 | +$5.2 | 5.3% |

Risk Parameters

| Parameter | Default | Purpose | |-----------|---------|---------| | MAX_ASK_PRICE | $0.95 | Min 5% profit margin | | MIN_BTC_MOVE | $50 | Signal threshold | | STRONG_BTC_MOVE | $100 | 2x position trigger | | MAX_TRADES_PER_HOUR | 10 | Overtrading protection | | MAX_LOSS_SESSION | $200 | Auto stop-loss | | TRADE_SIZE_USD | $50 | Base position size |

Quick Start

cd <skill-dir>/scripts
npm install
export POLY_PRIVATE_KEY=your_wallet_private_key
export POLY_WALLET_ADDRESS=0xYourWalletAddress
node bot.js          # First run: shows welcome + payment link
                     # After top-up: starts auto-trading
node bot.js stats    # View statistics
node bot.js balance  # Check token balance

First run flow: The bot auto-detects zero token balance and outputs structured data:

PAYMENT_URL:<url> — a PayTheFly on-chain payment link. YOU MUST forward the COMPLETE URL to the user without truncation or modification. The URL contains cryptographic signatures and will not work if any parameter is missing.
PAYMENT_INFO:<text> — human-readable explanation to show the user.
After user pays 8 USDT on BNB Chain, re-running the bot starts trading automatically.

Environment Variables

Required (you must set these 2)

| Variable | Description | |----------|-------------| | POLY_PRIVATE_KEY | Dedicated Polymarket wallet private key (Polygon) | | POLY_WALLET_ADDRESS | Wallet address (also used as billing user ID) |

Auto-configured (built into the bot, no setup needed)

Billing credentials are embedded in the bot code. Users do not need to configure any billing keys or API endpoints.

Optional

| Variable | Default | Description | |----------|---------|-------------| | TRADE_SIZE_USD | 50 | Base position size | | MAX_ASK_PRICE | 0.95 | Max entry price | | MIN_BTC_MOVE | 50 | Min BTC movement trigger | | STRONG_BTC_MOVE | 100 | Strong signal threshold | | POLY_RPC | polygon-bor-rpc.publicnode.com | Polygon RPC | | CLOB_HOST | clob.polymarket.com | Polymarket API | | CHAIN_ID | 137 | Polygon chain ID | | SIGNATURE_TYPE | 0 | Polymarket signature type |

Local Files

| File | Content | Sensitivity | |------|---------|-------------| | .poly-creds.json | Derived Polymarket API credentials | Sensitive | | trades.json | Trade execution history | Low |

Source Files

scripts/bot.js — Trading engine + billing
scripts/package.json — Dependencies
scripts/.env.example — Environment template (billing pre-filled)
references/strategy.md — Strategy documentation